When it comes to discussing core elements and factors in the financial investment domains, one key component that can hardly be ignored is detection of trading signals. Over the past few years, quite a few researchers and financial gurus have been trying to devise ideal time to trade stocks, however, no particular solution has been deemed as viable to date. There is little doubt as to why the said task has been keeping even the very best of business market experts at bay from coming up with some noteworthy solution. The reason is quite simple yet involves quite a few factors in the hindsight.
For starters, it’s the very own nature of the stock trading business itself that is dependent on so many internal as well as external forces. Price variations in the Forex trading business are usually subject to, for the most part, economic and political circumstances of a particular region as well as the overall global market. Both said factors can have a main role in defining the overall roadmap of the stock price. On top of that, it’s the ever-so-imminent variations in the currency prices that help making forecasting trading signals all the more complex and unpredictable.
In financial analysis, one often employs the fundamental analytical technique of trend analysis to predict or even verify trend reversals. Another factor that should be considered while discussing the trend analysis is that of technical analysis which is based more or less on just the price data of your stocks. All these things eventually contribute towards evaluating various types of data in the financial time series that is based on the core components of the Forex trading business. These include all the troughs, crests, trends, patterns and various other factors that may or may not affect the stock price oscillation in one way or the other. This indicates towards a highly challenging task that involves making all your calls regarding purchasing or selling the stocks.
Now to another major factor that can help you easily identify the trading signal and various trends associated with them: technical indicators. Technical indicators are usually carved using the stock data that is gleaned over a rather prolonged period of time. Since these technical indicators conceal much of the ‘inner’ information, so most researches and market experts these days are trying to ascertain the technical indicators using various data mining and AI tools so that any stakeholders involved in the Forex trading business have some sort of trickery up their sleeve while determining the trading signals.
Then there is another very important factor that can lead you to recognizing the Forex trading signals in a better way, and it involves around forecasting trading signals by using the historical data patterns. Yes, based on the data accumulated using the techniques mentioned above, there are realistic possibilities of the experts designing graphical charts that would help in assessing the stock trading directions. In this regard, a chart heuristic can prove to be a bit helpful pattern recognition tool. Designed using the combination of the transaction volume and price pattern of the stocks, a chart heuristic employs several tools including series weight calculation that can help traders learn about the most ideal time to play their cards, and earn the maximum profit. That does not imply by any means that the chart heuristic is without any flaws whatsoever. The mechanism seems to be working only in conditions where interpretation of stock analysis via graphical tools is intended. It, however, misses out on some of the key information that might be flowing in from various other indices that usually contribute in defining the overall directions of the trading signals.
There has been an ever-going effort to try and study the behavior of the stock price movement so that the process of detecting trading signals in a Forex trading environment could be made somewhat simplified. So far, the only feasible method of achieving said purpose with some degree of success has been seen in the form of preprocessing of the data in the financial time series. To improve the accuracy of the forecasting system in the Forex trading environment, one can always resort to the technique of clustering the time series data.
For this purpose, you can use various forecasting models/techniques such as the BPN model, SVM (support vector machine), FNN (fuzzy neural network) and CBR (case-based reasoning). To cut it short, while there are no hard and fast rules available as yet that could help you accurately determine the direction of the trading signals in the Forex trading business, there are, however, quite a few helpful tools, techniques and methods available that can prove to be the light at the end of the tunnel. Using the aforementioned tools, you can, at least, get some idea as to where the trends are indicating towards, so that you can make your decisions accordingly.
Tags: fuzzy neural network, neural network, forex signals, Business Finance, stock price